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Intelligence requirement workbench

Analysts ask questions. Requirements orchestrate collection, evidence, models, and resulting intelligence objects — not only reactive alerts.

ir-nikoi-sourceIN_PROGRESS

What evidence supports or refutes POLARIS as a potential source of the 29 April 2025 marine anomaly?

Collection plan
  • · Retain AIS correlation claims from source materials
  • · Seek multi-provider AIS validation (future)
  • · Seek spectral / chemistry confirmation (future)
  • · Enumerate alternative vessel hypotheses
Models
  • · mod-candidate-vessel
Resulting objects
  • · nikoi-2025-04-29
  • · candidate-polaris

Causal attribution must remain separate from association score.

ir-location-disagreementSATISFIED

How should competing location / EEZ claims for the Nikoi case be represented to analysts?

Collection plan
  • · Surface Source A vs Source B claims
  • · Mark SYSTEM STATUS: SOURCE CLAIMS DIFFER
Models
  • —
Resulting objects
  • · ev-eez-claim
  • · ev-location-claim-a

Disagreement is provenance functioning correctly.

ir-smeir-7dBLOCKED

Which high-confidence environmental events have occurred within the SMEIR during the last seven days?

Collection plan
  • · Requires live observation adapters
  • · Phase 1 uses historical replay only
Models
  • · mod-singapore-nexus
Resulting objects
  • —

Architected; not live in Phase 1.

ir-mb-indicatorsBLOCKED

Which vessels in the Singapore–Bintan regional system currently show multiple deceptive-shipping indicators?

Collection plan
  • · Requires licensed or public AIS ingest
  • · Requires identity and watchlist context feeds
Models
  • · mod-rendezvous
  • · mod-sts-assessment
Resulting objects
  • —

Do not invent a regional vessel list. POLARIS is a pollution-event candidate, not a shadow-fleet finding.

ir-mb-rendezvous-receptorsBLOCKED

Which vessel rendezvous events occurred close to sensitive marine receptors?

Collection plan
  • · AIS encounter detection
  • · Overlay MPA / coral / seagrass / mangrove / tourism
Models
  • · mod-rendezvous
Resulting objects
  • —

Overlap ≠ environmental harm. No encounters sourced.

ir-mb-nikoi-behaviourIN_PROGRESS

Are any vessels associated with the Nikoi pollution case also showing identity, AIS, or rendezvous anomalies?

Collection plan
  • · Inspect POLARIS identity string in source materials
  • · Do not reconstruct an AIS gap without a track
  • · Keep pollution association separate from behavioural anomaly
Models
  • · mod-candidate-vessel
  • · mod-sts-assessment
Resulting objects
  • · vessel-polaris-477300300
  • · sts-polaris-insufficient

No identity anomaly, AIS gap, rendezvous, or watchlist record is asserted. Not a shadow-fleet case.

ir-mb-watchlist-regionBLOCKED

Which watchlisted vessels are operating within the intelligence region, and what behaviour is actually observed?

Collection plan
  • · Ingest official lists via Worker secrets
  • · Join to AIS only when both exist
Models
  • —
Resulting objects
  • —

Listing without observed behaviour is incomplete intelligence. Behaviour without a listing is not evasion.

ir-emsea-weekBLOCKED

What are the most consequential environmental changes within the EMSEA AOI this week?

Collection plan
  • · Requires regional change products
  • · Delayed SST/chlorophyll tiles are context, not a change feed
Models
  • —
Resulting objects
  • —

Architectural target. Not a Phase 1 live obligation.

ir-sst-receptorsBLOCKED

Where are SST anomalies coinciding with coral or fisheries receptors?

Collection plan
  • · SST anomaly tiles available as delayed public context
  • · Coral / fisheries receptor layers not loaded
Models
  • —
Resulting objects
  • —

Coincidence requires both layers. Receptor data are SOURCE UNAVAILABLE.

ir-transboundary-plumesBLOCKED

Which freshwater or sediment plumes cross jurisdictional boundaries?

Collection plan
  • · Requires discharge, ocean colour classification, and EEZ context
Models
  • · mod-freshwater-pulse
Resulting objects
  • · tp-straits-land-sea

Qualitative pathway exists. Live pulse detection is not faked.

ir-outside-sgOPEN

Which environmental events outside Singapore could affect the Singapore and Straits case-study area?

Collection plan
  • · EMSEA envelope is the collection frame
  • · SMEIR is the case-study lens
  • · Nikoi is the worked example of extra-Singapore relevance
Models
  • · mod-singapore-nexus
  • · mod-transboundary
Resulting objects
  • · nikoi-2025-04-29
  • · tra-nikoi

The product story is regional platform → EMSEA → Singapore case study → Nikoi event.

Regional architectural targets

  • Where is reclamation footprint expanding?
  • Which blue-carbon ecosystems show measurable extent change?
  • Where are fishing pressure, habitat stress and ocean-state anomalies coincident?
  • Which coastal mining or land-clearing areas show downstream sediment responses?
ARCHITECTED_NOT_BUILT